Publications by Richard Seager

1. Cook, B.I., E.R. Cook, J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, A.P. Williams, S. Coats, D.W. Stahle and J. Villanueva Diaz, 2016: North American megadroughts in the Common Era: reconstructions and simulations. WIREs Clim Change: doi: 10.1002/wcc.394. PDF
2. Greene, A.M. and R. Seager, 2016: Categorical representation of North American precipitation projections. Nature, Scientific Reports, 6:23888: doi:10.1038/srep23888. PDF
3. Pascolini-Campbell, M.A., R. Seager, A. Pinson and B.I. Cook, 2016: Covariability of Climate and Upper Rio Grande Streamflow. Water Resources Research, accepted. PDF
4. Schubert, S., R. Stewart, H. Wang, M. Barlow, E. Berbery, W. Cai, M. Hoerling, K. Kanikicharla, R. Koster, B. Lyon, A. Mariotti, C. Mechoso, O. Müller, B. Rodriguez-Fonseca, S. Seneviratne R. Seager, L. Zhang and T. Zhou, 2016: Global Meteorological Drought: A Synthesis of Current Understanding with a Focus on SST Drivers of Precipitation Deficits. J. Climate: DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0452.1. PDF
5. Seager, R. and N. Henderson, 2016: Tropical ocean forcing of the persistent North American west coast ridge of winter 2013/14. J. Climate, submitted. PDF
6. Anderson, W. A., R Seager, W. Baethgen and M.A. Cane, 2015: Life cycles of agriculturally-relevant ENSO teleconnections in North and South America. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol: submitted.
7. Biasutti, M. and R. Seager, 2015: Projected changes in US rainfall erosivity. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19(6): 2945-2961. PDF ABS
8. Coats, S. , B.I. Cook, J.E. Smerdon and R. Seager, 2015: North American Pancontinental Droughts in Model Simulations of the Last Millennium. J. Climate, 28: 2025-2043, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00634.1. PDF
9. Coats, S., J. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, R. Seager, E.R. Cook and K. Achukaitis, 2015: Internal ocean-atmsophere variability drives megadroughts in Western North America. Nature: in review.
10. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Are Simulated Megadroughts in the North American Southwest Forced? J. Climate, 28: 124-142, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00071.1 PDF
11. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, D. Griffin and B.I. Cook, 2015: Winter-to-Summer Precipitation Phasing in Southwestern North America: A Multi-century perspective from Paleoclimatic Model-Data Comparisons. J. Geo. Res. - Atmos., 120: 8052–8064, doi:10.1002/2015JD023085. PDF
12. Cook, B.I., R. Seager, D.J. Burnette and A.J. Ray, 2015: Seasonal shifts in hydroclimate and 21st century warming in Western North America. J. Hydromet.: submitted. PDF
13. Cook, E.R., R. Seager, Y. Kushnir, K. Briffa, U. Buntgen, D. Frabk, P. Krusic, W. Tegel, G. van der Schrier, L. Andreu-Hayles, M. Baillie, C. Baitttinger, A. Billambo, N. Bleicher, N. Bonde, D. Brown, M. Carrer, R. Cooper, K. Cufar, C. Dittmar, J. Esper, C. Giggs, B. Gunnarson, B. Gunther, E. Gutierrez, K. Haneca, S. Helem, F. Herzig, K.-U. Heussner, J. Hofman, P. Janda, R. Kontic, N. Kose, T. Kyncl, T. Levanic, H. Linderholm, S. Manning, T. Melvin, D. Miles, B. Neuwirth, K. Nicolussi, P. Nola, M. Panayotov, I. Popa, A. Rothe, K. Seftigen, A. Seim, H. Svarva, M. Svoboda, T. Thun, M. Timonen, R. Touchan, V. Trotsiuk, V. Truet, F. Walder, T. Wazny, R. Wilson and C. Zang, 2015: Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era. Sci. Adv.: 1- 9, doi:10.1126/sciadv.1500561. PDF
14. Kelley, C.S., S. Mohtadi, M.A. Cane, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2015: Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci, 112(11): 3241 - 3246, doi/10.1073/pnas.1421533112. LINK PDF
15. Pascolini-Campbell, M.A., R. Seager, D.S. Gutzler, B.I. Cook and D. Griffin, 2015: Causes of Interannual to decadal variability of Gila Riverstreamflow over the past century. J. Hydrology: Regional Studies 3: 494-508. PDF
16. Ramesh, N., M.A. Cane and R. Seager, 2015: Predictability and prediction of persistent cool states of the tropical Pacific Ocean. J. Climate: submitted.
17. Seager, R., 2015: Decadal hydroclimate variability across the Americas. In: M.a.B. In Climate Change (Editor), C.-P. Chang, M. Ghil, M. Latif and J.M. Wallace. World Scientific Publishing Co., Singapore, pp. 235-253. PDF
18. Seager, R., A. Hooks, A.P. Williams, B.I. Cook, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2015: Climatology, Variability, and Trends in U.S. Vapor Pressure Deficit, an Important Fire-Related Meteorological Quantity. J. Applied Meteorlogy and Climatology, 54: 1121-1141, DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0321.1. PDF
19. Seager, R., M. Hoerling, S. Schubert, H. L. Wang, B. Lyon, A. Kumar, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2015: Causes of the 2011-14 California Drought. Journal of Climate, 28(18): 6997-7024, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00860.1. PDF ABS
20. Simpson, I., R. Seager, M. Ting and T. Shaw, 2015: Causes of change in Northern Hemisphere winter meridional wind and regional hydroclimate. Nature Clim. Change: DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2783. PDF
21. Simpson, I., R. Seager, T. Shaw and M. Ting, 2015: Mediterranean summer climate and the importance of Middle East topography. J. Climate, 28: 1977-1996, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00298.1. PDF
22. Smerdon, J. E., B. I. Cook, E. R. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Bridging Past and Future Climate across Paleoclimatic Reconstructions, Observations, and Models: A Hydroclimate Case Study. Journal of Climate, 28(8): 3212-3231. PDF ABS
23. Williams, A.P., R. Seager, J.T. Abatzoglou, B.I. Cook and J.E. Smerdon, 2015: Contribution of anthropogenic warming to the 2012–2014 California drought. Geo. Res. Let., 42: 6819–6828, doi:10.1002/2015GL064924. LINK PDF
24. Williams, A.P., R.E. Schwartz, S. Iacobellis, R. Seager, B.I. Cook, C.J. Small, Gl. Husak and J. Michaelsen, 2015: Urbanization reduces summer fogginess in coastal Southern California. Geophys. Res. Lett., 42: 1527-1536, doi: 10.1002/2015GL063266. PDF
25. Yang, W., R. Seager, M.A. Cane and B. Lyon, 2015: The Annual Cycle of East African Precipitation. J. Climate, 28: 2385-2404, DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00484.1. PDF
26. Yang, W., R. Seager, M.A. Cane and B. Lyon, 2015: The rainfall annual cycle bias over East Africa induced by CMIP5 coupled climate models. J. Climate, 28: 9789-9802, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0323.1.
27. Ballard, T., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, A.J. Ray, B. Rajagopalan, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2014: Hydroclimate Variability and Change in the Prairie Pothole Region, the “Duck Factory” of North America. Earth Interactions, 18(No. 14): 1-28, DOI: 10.1175/EI-D-14-0004.1. PDF
28. Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and E.R. Cook, 2014: Pan-Continental Droughts in North America over the Last Millennium. J. Climate, 27: 383-397, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00100.1. PDF
29. Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and Sloan Coats, 2014: Global Warming and Drought in the 21st Century. Clim. Dyn.: DOI 10.1007/s00382-014-2075-y. PDF
30. Cook, B.I., R. Seager and J.E. Smerdon, 2014: The worst North American drought year of the last millennium: 1934. Geo. Res. Let., 41: doi:10.1002/2014GL061661. PDF
31. Hoerling, M., J. Eischeid, A. Kumar, R. Leung, A. Mariotti, K. Mo, S. Schubert and R. Seager, 2014: Causes and Predictability of the 2012 Great Plains Drought. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 269-282. PDF
32. Maloney, E., S.J. Camargo, E. Chang, B. Collee, R. Fu, K. Geil, Q. Hu, X. Jiang, N. Johnson, K. Karnauskas, J. Kinter, B. Kirkman, S. Kumar, B. Langenbrunner, K. Lombardo, L. Long, A. Mariotti, J. Meyerson, K. Mo, D. Neelin, Z. Pan, R. Seager, Y. Serra, A. Seth, J. Sheffield, J. Stroeve, J. Thibeault, S.-P. Xie, C. Wang, B. Wyman and M. Zhao, 2014: North American Climate in the CMIP5 experiments. Part III: Assessment of 21st century projections. . J. Climate, 27: 2230-2270, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00273.1. PDF
33. Seager, R. and M. Hoerling, 2014: Atmosphere and Ocean Origins of North American Droughts. J. Climate, 27: 4581-4606. PDF
34. Seager, R., D. Neelin, I. Simpson, H. Liu, N. Henderson, T. Shaw, Y. Kushnir, M. Ting and B.I. Cook, 2014: Dynamical and Thermodynamical Causes of Large-Scale Changes in the Hydrological Cycle over North America in Response to Global Warming. J. Climate, 27: 7921-7948, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00153.1. PDF
35. Seager, R., H. Liu, N. Henderson, I. Simpson, C. Kelley, T. Shaw, Y. Kushnir and M. Ting, 2014: Causes of Increasing Aridification of the Mediterranean Region in Response to Rising Greenhouse Gases. J. Climate, 27: 4655-4675, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00446.1. PDF
36. Seager, R., L. Goddard, J. Nakamura, N. Henderson and D. Lee, 2014: Dynamical causes of the 2010/11 Texas-northern Mexico drought. J. Hydrometeorology: doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-024.1. PDF
37. Simpson, I.R., T.A. Shaw and R. Seager, 2014: A Diagnosis of the Seasonally and Longitudinally Varying Midlatitude Circulation Response to Global Warming. J. Atmos. Sci., 71: 2489-2515, DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-13-0325.1. PDF
38. Williams, A.P., R. Seager, A.K. Macalady, M. Berkelhammer, M.A. Crimmins, T.W. Swetnam, A.T. Trugman, N. Buenning, D. Noone, N.G. McDowell, N. Hryniw, C.I. More and T. Rahn, 2014: Correlations between components of the water balance and burned area reveal new insights for predicting forest fire area in the southwest United States. International Journal of Wildland Fire: http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF14023. PDF
39. Williams, A.P., R. Seager, M. Berkelhammer, A. Macalady, M. Crimmins, T. Swetnam, A. Trugman, N. Buenning, N. Hryniw, N. McDowell, D. Noone, C. Mora and T. Rahn, 2014: Causes and Implications of Extreme Atmospheric Moisture Demand during the Record-Breaking 2011 Wildfire Season in the Southwest United States. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol, 53: 2671-2684, DOI :10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0053.1. PDF
40. Yang, W. C., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and B. Lyon, 2014: The East African Long Rains in Observations and Models. Journal of Climate, 27(19): 7185-7202, Doi 10.1175/Jcli-D-13-00447.1. PDF ABS
41. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2013: Stationarity of the tropical Pacific teleconnection North America in CMIP5/PMIP3 Model Simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40: doi:10.1002/grl.50938. PDF
42. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, B.I. Cook and J.F. Gonzáez-Rouco, 2013: Megadroughts in Southwestern North America in ECHO-G Millennial Simulations and their Comparison to Proxy Drought Reconstructions. J. Climate, 26: 7635-7649, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00603.1. PDF
43. Cook, B.I. and R. Seager, 2013: The response of the North American Monsoon to increased greenhouse gas forcing. J. Climate, 118: 1690-1699, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50111. PDF
44. Cook, B.I., R. Seager, R.L. Miller and J.A. Mason, 2013: Intensification of North American megadroughts through surface and dust aerosol forcing. J. Climate, 26: 4414-4430, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00022.1. PDF
45. Frierson, D. M. W., Y. T. Hwang, N. S. Fuckar, R. Seager, S. M. Kang, A. Donohoe, E. A. Maroon, X. J. Liu and D. S. Battisti, 2013: Contribution of ocean overturning circulation to tropical rainfall peak in the Northern Hemisphere. Nature Geoscience, 6(11): 940-944. PDF ABS
46. Gonzalez, P.L.M., L.M. Polvani, R. Seager and G.J.P. Correa, 2013: Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-013-1777-x. PDF
47. Nakamura, J., U. Lall, Y. Kushnir, A.W. Robertson and R. Seager, 2013: Dynamical Structure of Extreme Floods in the U.S. Midwest and the United Kingdom. J. Hydrometeor., 14: 485-504. PDF
48. Pederson, N., A.R. Bell, E.R. Cook, U. Lall, N. Devineni, R. Seager, K. Eggleston and K.J. Vranes, 2013: Is an Epic Pluvial Masking the Water Insecurity of the Greater New York City Region. J. Climate, 26: 1339-1354, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00723.1. PDF
49. Seager, R. and B. Cook, 2013: Dust Bowl, Encyclopedia of Natural Hazards. Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series, pp. 197-201. PDF
50. Seager, R. and N. Henderson, 2013: Diagnostic computation of moisture budgets in the 1 ERA-Interim Reanalysis with reference to analysis of 2 CMIP-archived atmospheric model data. J. Climate, 26: 7876 - 7901, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00018.1. PDF
51. Seager, R., M. Ting, C. Li, N. Naik(Henderson), B. Cook, J. Nakamura and H. Liu, 2013: Projections of declining surface-water availability for southwestern United States. Nature Climatic Change: doi:10.1038/nclimate1787. PDF
52. Sheffield, J., S. J. Camargo, R. Fu, Q. Hu, X. A. Jiang, N. Johnson, K. B. Karnauskas, S. T. Kim, J. Kinter, S. Kumar, B. Langenbrunner, E. Maloney, A. Mariotti, J. E. Meyerson, J. D. Neelin, S. Nigam, Z. T. Pan, A. Ruiz-Barradas, R. Seager, Y. L. Serra, D. Z. Sun, C. Z. Wang, S. P. Xie, J. Y. Yu, T. Zhang and M. Zhao, 2013: North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part II: Evaluation of Historical Simulations of Intraseasonal to Decadal Variability. Journal of Climate, 26(23): 9247-9290, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00593.1. PDF ABS
53. Tierney, J. E., J. E. Smerdon, K. J. Anchukaitis and R. Seager, 2013: Multidecadal variability in East African hydroclimate controlled by the Indian Ocean. Nature, 493(7432): 389-392, doi:10.1038/nature11785. PDF ABS
54. Williams, A. P., C. D. Allen, A. K. Macalady, D. Griffin, C. A. Woodhouse, D. M. Meko, T. W. Swetnam, S. A. Rauscher, R. Seager, H. D. Grissino-Mayer, J. S. Dean, E. R. Cook, C. Gangodagamage, M. Cai and N. G. McDowell, 2013: Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality. Nature Climate Change, 3(3): 292-297. PDF ABS
55. Wu, Y., L. Polvani and R. Seager, 2013: The Importance of the Montreal Protocol in Protecting the Earth's Hydroclimate. J. Climate, 26: 4049-4068, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00675.1. PDF
56. Wu, Y., R. Seager, T.A. Shaw, M. Ting and N. Naik(Henderson), 2013: Atmospheric Circulation Response to An Instantaneous Doubling of Carbon Dioxide Part II: Atmospheric Transient Adjustment and its Dynamics. J. Climate(26): 918-935, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00104.1. PDF
57. Yang, W., R. Seager and M.A. Cane, 2013: Zonal Momentum Balance in the Tropical Atmospheric Circulation during the Global Monsoon Mature Months. J. Atmos. Sci., 70: 583-599, DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0140.1. PDF
58. Karnauskas, K.B., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and J.F. Gonzáles-Roucho, 2012: A Pacific Centennial Oscillation Predicted by Coupled GCMs. J. Climate, 25: 5,943-5961, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00421.1. PDF
59. Kelley, C., M. Ting, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2012: Mediterranean precipitation climatology, season cycle, and trend as simulated by CMIP5. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39: L21703, doi:10.1029/2012GL053416. PDF
60. Ruff, T.W., Y. Kushnir and R. Seager, 2012: Comparing Twentieth- and Twenty-First-Century Patterns of Interannual Precipitation Variability over the Western United States and Northern Mexico. J. Hydrometeorology, 13: 366-378, DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-10-05003.1. PDF
61. Seager, R. and N. Naik(Henderson), 2012: A mechanisms-based approach for detecting recent anthropogenic hydroclimate change. J. Climate, 25(1): 236-261, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00056.1. PDF
62. Seager, R., N. Naik(Henderson) and L. Vogel, 2012: Does global warming cause intensified interannual hydroclimate variability? J. Climate, 25: 3355-3372. PDF
63. Seager, R., N. Pederson, Y. Kushnir and J. Nakamura, 2012: The 1960s Drought and the Subsequent Shift to a Wetter Climate in the Catskill Mountains Region of the New York City Watershed. J. Climate, 25: 6721-6742, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00518.1. PDF
64. Wu, Y., R. Seager, M. Ting, N. Naik(Henderson) and T.A. Shaw, 2012: Atmospheric Curculation Response to An Instantaneous Doubling of Carbon Dioxide Part I: Model Experiments and Transient Thermal Response in the Troposphere. J. Climate, 25: 2862-2879, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00284.1. PDF
65. Cook, B.I., R. Seager and R.L. Miller, 2011: On the Causes and Dynamics of the Early Twentieth-Century North American Pluvial. J. Climate, 24: 5043, DOI: 10.1175/2011JCLI4201.1. PDF ABS
66. Cook, B.I., R. Seager and R.L. Miller, 2011: The impact of devegetated dune fields on North American climate during the late Medieval Climate Anomaly. Geo. Res. Letters, 38: L14704, doi:10.1029/2011GL047566. PDF
67. D'Arrigo, R., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, A.N. LeGrande and E.R. Cook, 2011: The anomalous winter of 1783-1784: Was the Laki eruption or an analog of the 2009-2010 winter to blame? Geo. Res. Lett. , 38: L05706, doi:10.1029/2011GL046696. PDF
68. Kang, S.M and R. Seager, 2011: Croll Revisited: Why is the Northern Hemisphere Warmer than the Southern Hemisphere? J. Climate. PDF
69. Kelley, C., M. Ting, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2011: The relative contributions of radiative forcing and internal climate variability to the late 20th Century drying of the Mediterranean region. Clim. Dyn.: DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1221-z. PDF
70. Ting, M., Y. Kushnir, R. Seager and L. Cuihua, 2011: Robust features of Atlantic multi‐decadal variability and its climate impacts. Geo. Res. Letters, 38(L17705): doi:10.1029/2011GL048712. PDF
71. Burgman, R., R. Seager, A. C. Clement and C. Herweijer, 2010: Role of tropical Pacific SSTs in global medieval hydroclimate: A modeling study. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37(L06705): doi:10.1029/2009GL042239. PDF
72. Cook, B., R. Seager and R. Miller, 2010: Atmospheric circulation anomalies during two persistent North American droughts: 1932-1939 and 1948-1957. Climate Dynamics: 10.1007/s00382-010-0807-1. PDF
73. Cook, E. R., R. Seager, R. R. Heim, R. S. Vose, C. Herweijer and C. Woodhouse, 2010: Megadroughts in North America: placing IPCC projections of hydroclimatic change in a long-term palaeoclimate context. Journal of Quaternary Science, 25(1): 48-61. PDF ABS
74. Cook, I. B., E.R. Cook, K.J. Anchukaitis, R. Seager and R. L. Miller, 2010: Forced and unforced variability of twentieth century North American droughts and pluvials. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0897-9. PDF
75. Harnik, N., R. Seager, N. Naik(Henderson), M.A. Cane and M. Ting, 2010: The role of linear wave refraction in the transient eddy–mean flow response to tropical Pacific SST anomalies. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 136: 2132-2146. PDF
76. Kushnir, Y., R. Seager, M. Ting, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Nakamura, 2010: Mechanisms of Tropical Atlantic SST Influence on North American Precipitation Variability. Journal of Climate, 23: DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3172.1. PDF
77. Seager, R. , N. Naik(Henderson), W. Baethgen, A. Robertson, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura and S. Jurburg, 2010: Tropical oceanic causes of interannual to multidecadal precipitation variability across southeast South America over the past century. Journal of Climate, 23: DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3578.1. PDF
78. Seager, R., N. Naik(Henderson) and G. A. Vecchi, 2010: Thermodynamic and Dynamic Mechanisms for Large-Scale Changes in the Hydrological Cycle in Response to Global Warming. Journal of Climate, 23(17): 4651-4668. PDF ABS
79. Seager, R., N. Naik(Henderson), M. Ting, M. A. Cane, N. Harnik and Y. Kushnir, 2010: Adjustment of the atmospheric circulation to tropical Pacific SST anomalies: Variability of transient eddy propagation in the Pacific-North America sector. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136: 277-296. DOI: 10.1002/qj.588. PDF ABS
80. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura, M. Ting and N. Naik(Henderson), 2010: Northern hemisphere winter snow anomalies: ENSO, NAO and the winter of 2009/10. Geo. Res. Letters, 37(L14703): doi:10.1029/2010GL043830. PDF
81. Wu, Y., M. Ting, R. Seager, M.A. Cane and H.-P. Huang, 2010: Changes in storm tracks and energy transports in a warmer climate simulated by the GFDL CM2.1 model. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0776-4. PDF
82. Cook, B. I., R. L. Miller and R. Seager, 2009: Amplification of the North American "Dust Bowl" drought through human-induced land degradation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106(13): 4997-5001. PDF ABS
83. Karnauskas, K. B., R. Seager, A. Kaplan, Y. Kushnir and M. A. Cane, 2009: Observed Strengthening of the Zonal Sea Surface Temperature Gradient across the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. Journal of Climate, 22(16): 4316-4321. PDF ABS
84. Schubert, S., D. Gutzler, H. L. Wang, A. Dai, T. Delworth, C. Deser, K. Findell, R. Fu, W. Higgins, M. Hoerling, B. Kirtman, R. Koster, A. Kumar, D. Legler, D. Lettenmaier, B. Lyon, V. Magana, K. Mo, S. Nigam, P. Pegion, A. Phillips, R. Pulwarty, D. Rind, A. Ruiz-Barradas, J. Schemm, R. Seager, R. Stewart, M. Suarez, J. Syktus, M. F. Ting, C. Z. Wang, S. Weaver and N. Zeng, 2009: A US CLIVAR Project to Assess and Compare the Responses of Global Climate Models to Drought-Related SST Forcing Patterns: Overview and Results. Journal of Climate, 22(19): 5251-5272. PDF ABS
85. Seager, R., A. Tzanova and J. Nakamura, 2009: Drought in the Southeastern United States: Causes, Variability over the Last Millennium, and the Potential for Future Hydroclimate Change. Journal of Climate, 22(19): 5021-5045. PDF ABS
86. Seager, R., M. Ting, M. Davis, M. Cane, N. Naik(Henderson), J. Nakamura, C. Li, E. Cook and D. W. Stahle, 2009: Mexican drought: an observational modeling and tree ring study of variability and climate change. Atmosfera, 22(1): 1-31. PDF ABS
87. Stahle, D. W. , E. R. Cook, J. Villanueva Diaz, F. K. Fye, D. J. Burnette, R. D. Griffin, R. Acuna Soto, R. Seager and Jr. R. R. Heim, 2009: Early 21st-Century Drought in Mexico. EOS, Vol. 90(11): 89-100. PDF
88. Ting, M. F., Y. Kushnir, R. Seager and C. H. Li, 2009: Forced and Internal Twentieth-Century SST Trends in the North Atlantic. Journal of Climate, 22(6): 1469-1481. PDF ABS
89. Cook, B. I., R. L. Miller and R. Seager, 2008: Dust and sea surface temperature forcing of the 1930s "Dust Bowl" drought. Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L08710(8): doi:10.1029/2008GL033486. PDF ABS
90. Emile-Geay, J., R. Seager, M. A. Cane, E. R. Cook and G. H. Haug, 2008: Volcanoes and ENSO over the past millennium. Journal of Climate, 21(13): 3134-3148. doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1884.1. PDF ABS
91. Herweijer, C. and R. Seager, 2008: The global footprint of persistent extra-tropical drought in the instrumental era. International Journal of Climatology, 28(13): 1761-1774. PDF ABS
92. Seager, R., 2008: Setting the record straight on Europe's mild winters. The Plantsman, Royal Horticultural Society, 7(Part 1): 22-27. PDF
93. Seager, R., R. Burgman, Y. Kushnir, A. Clement, E. Cook, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Miller, 2008: Tropical Pacific Forcing of North American Medieval Megadroughts: Testing the Concept with an Atmosphere Model Forced by Coral-Reconstructed SSTs. Journal of Climate, 21(23): 6175-6190. PDF ABS
94. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, M. Ting, M. Cane, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Miller, 2008: Would advance knowledge of 1930s SSTs have allowed prediction of the dust bowl drought? Journal of Climate, 21(13): 3261-3281. PDF ABS
95. Cook, E. R., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and D. W. Stahle, 2007: North American drought: Reconstructions, causes, and consequences. Earth-Science Reviews, 81(1-2): 93-134. PDF ABS
96. Emile-Geay, J., M. Cane, R. Seager, A. Kaplan and P. Almasi, 2007: El Niño as a mediator of the solar influence on climate. Paleoceanography, 22(3): PA3210, doi:10.1029/2006PA001304. PDF ABS
97. Herweijer, C., R. Seager, E. R. Cook and J. Emile-Geay, 2007: North American droughts of the last millennium from a gridded network of tree-ring data. Journal of Climate, 20(7): 1353-1376. PDF ABS
98. Murtugudde, R., R. Seager and P. Thoppi, 2007: Arabian Sea response to monsoon variations. Paleoceanography, 22(PA4217): doi:10.1029/2007PA001467. PDF ABS
99. Schubert, Siegfried, Randal Koster, Martin Hoerling, Richard Seager, Dennis Lettenmaier, Arun Kumar and David Gutzler, 2007: Predicting Drought on Seasonal-to-Decadal Time Scales. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88(10): 1625-1630. PDF
100. Seager, R and E.R. Cook, 2007: Medieval megadroughts in the Four Corners region: Characterization and causes, The Society for Americaqn Archaeology, Austin, Texas. PDF
101. Seager, R. and D. S. Battisti, 2007: Challenges to our understanding of the general circulation: abrupt climate change. In: T. Schneider and A.S. Sobel (Editors), The Global Circulation of the Atmosphere: Phenomena, Theory, Challenges. Princeton University Press, pp. 331-371. PDF
102. Seager, R., 2007: The Turn of the Century drought across North America: global context, dynamics and past analogues. Journal of Climate, 20: 5527-5552. PDF ABS
103. Seager, R., M. F. Ting, I. Held, Y. Kushnir, J. Lu, G. Vecchi, H. P. Huang, N. Harnik, A. Leetmaa, N. C. Lau, C. H. Li, J. Velez(Nakamura) and N. Naik(Henderson), 2007: Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America. Science, 316(5828): 1181-1184. PDF ABS
104. Seager, R., N. Graham, C. Herweijer, A. L. Gordon, Y. Kushnir and E. Cook, 2007: Blueprints for Medieval hydroclimate. Quaternary Science Reviews, 26(19-21): doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2007.04.020, pp. 2322-2336. PDF ABS
105. Clement, A. C. , J. Emile-Geay, R. Seager, M. A. Cane and M. N. Evans, 2006: Solar forcing of the tropical Pacific climate and impacts over North America for the last millennium, PAGES Newsletter, Aug. 2006, pp. 12-14. PDF
106. Herweijer, C., R. Seager and E. R. Cook, 2006: North American droughts of the mid to late nineteenth century: a history, simulation and implication for Mediaeval drought. Holocene, 16(2): 159-171. PDF ABS
107. Seager, R., 2006: The source of Europe's mild climate. American Scientist, 94(4): 334-341. PDF
108. Clement, A. C., R. Seager and R. Murtugudde, 2005: Why are there tropical warm pools? Journal of Climate, 18(24): 5294-5311. PDF ABS
109. Hazeleger, W., C. Severijns, R. Seager and F. Molteni, 2005: Tropical Pacific-driven decadel energy transport variability. Journal of Climate, 18(12): 2037-2051. PDF ABS
110. Herweijer, C., R. Seager, M. Winton and A. Clement, 2005: Why ocean heat transport warms the global mean climate. Tellus Series a-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 57(4): 662-675. PDF ABS
111. Huang, H. P., R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2005: The 1976/77 transition in precipitation over the Americas and the influence of tropical sea surface temperature. Climate Dynamics, 24(7-8): 721-740. PDF ABS
112. Seager, R., N. Harnik, W. A. Robinson, Y. Kushnir, M.F. Ting, H. P. Huang and J. Velez(Nakamura), 2005: Mechanisms of ENSO-forcing of hemispherically symmetric precipitation variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131(608): 1501-1527. PDF ABS
113. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, C. Herweijer, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Velez(Nakamura), 2005: Modeling of tropical forcing of persistent droughts and pluvials over western North America: 1856-2000. Journal of Climate, 18(19): 4065-4088. PDF ABS
114. Hazeleger, W., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and N. H. Naik(Henderson), 2004: How can tropical Pacific Ocean heat transport vary? Journal of Physical Oceanography, 34(1): 320-333. PDF ABS
115. Karspeck, A. R., R. Seager and M. A. Cane, 2004: Predictability of tropical Pacific decadal variability in an intermediate model. Journal of Climate, 17(14): 2842-2850. PDF ABS
116. Seager, R., A. R. Karspeck, M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir, A. Giannini, A. Kaplan, B. Kerman and J. Velez(Nakamura), 2004: Predicting Pacific decadal variability. In: C. Wang, S.P. Xie and J.A. Carton (Editors), Earth Climate: The ocean-atmosphere interaction, American Geophysical Union, Washington DC, pp. 105-120. PDF
117. Emile-Geay, J., M. A. Cane, N. H. Naik(Henderson), R. Seager, A. C. Clement and A. van Geen, 2003: Warren revisited: Atmospheric freshwater fluxes and "Why is no deep water formed in the North Pacific''. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 108(C6): 3178, doi: 10.1029/2001JC001058. PDF ABS
118. Seager, R. , R. Murtugudde, A. C. Clement and C. Herweijer, 2003: Why is there an evaporation minimum at the Equator? J. Climate, 16: 3792-3801. PDF
119. Seager, R., 2003: Gulf Stream la fin d'un mythe. La Recherche(361): 40-46. PDF
120. Seager, R., N. Harnik, Y. Kushnir, W. Robinson and J. Miller(Nakamura), 2003: Mechanisms of hemispherically symmetric climate variability. Journal of Climate, 16(18): 2960-2978. PDF ABS
121. Seager, R., R. Murtugudde, N. H. Naik(Henderson), A. Clement, N. Gordon and J. Miller(Nakamura), 2003: Air-sea interaction and the seasonal cycle of the subtropical anticyclones. Journal of Climate, 16(12): 1948-1966. PDF ABS
122. Greene, A. M., R. Seager and W. S. Broecker, 2002: Tropical snowline depression at the Last Glacial Maximum: Comparison with proxy records using a single-cell tropical climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 107(D7-8): doi:10.1029/2001JD000670. PDF ABS
123. Kushnir, Y., R. Seager, J. Miller(Nakamura) and J. C. H. Chiang, 2002: A simple coupled model of tropical Atlantic decadal climate variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 29(23): 2133. PDF ABS
124. Seager, R., D. S. Battisti, J. Yin, N. Gordon, N. H. Naik(Henderson), A. C. Clement and M. A. Cane, 2002: Is the Gulf Stream responsible for Europe's mild winters? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 128(586): 2563-2586. PDF ABS
125. Clement, A. C., M. A. Cane and R. Seager, 2001: An orbitally driven tropical source for abrupt climate change. Journal of Climate, 14(11): 2369-2375. PDF ABS
126. Giannini, A., J. C. H. Chiang, M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir and R. Seager, 2001: The ENSO teleconnection to the tropical Atlantic Ocean: Contributions of the remote and local SSTs to rainfall variability in the tropical Americas. Journal of Climate, 14(24): 4530-4544. PDF ABS
127. Hazeleger, W., R. Seager, M. Visbeck, N. H. Naik(Henderson) and K. Rodgers, 2001: Impact of the midlatitude storm track on the upper Pacific Ocean. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 31(2): 616-636. PDF ABS
128. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, N. H. Naik(Henderson), M. A. Cane and J. Miller(Nakamura), 2001: Wind-driven shifts in the latitude of the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension and generation of SST anomalies on decadal timescales. Journal of Climate, 14(22): 4249-4265. PDF ABS
129. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, P. Chang, N. H. Naik(Henderson), J. Miller(Nakamura) and W. Hazeleger, 2001: Looking for the role of the ocean in tropical Atlantic decadal climate variability. Journal of Climate, 14(5): 638-655. LINK PDF ABS
130. Clement, A. C., R. Seager and M. A. Cane, 2000: Suppression of El Niño during the mid-Holocene by changes in the Earth's orbit. Paleoceanography, 15(6): 731-737. PDF ABS
131. Seager, R., A. C. Clement and M. A. Cane, 2000: Glacial cooling in the tropics: Exploring the roles of tropospheric water vapor, surface wind speed, and boundary layer processes. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 57(13): 2144-2157. PDF ABS
132. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, M. Visbeck, N. H. Naik(Henderson), J. Miller(Nakamura), G. Krahmann and H. Cullen, 2000: Causes of Atlantic Ocean climate variability between 1958 and 1998. Journal of Climate, 13(16): 2845-2862. LINK PDF ABS
133. Clement, A. C., R. Seager and M. A. Cane, 1999: Orbital controls on the El Niño/Southern Oscillation and the tropical climate. Paleoceanography, 14(4): 441-456. PDF ABS
134. Clement, A. and R. Seager, 1999: Climate and the tropical oceans. Journal of Climate, 12(12): 3383-3401. PDF ABS
135. Clement, A., M. A. Cane and R. Seager, 1999: Patterns and mechanisms of twentieth century climate change. World Resources Rev., 10: 161-185. ABS
136. Stockdale, T. N., A. J. Busalacchi, D. E. Harrison and R. Seager, 1998: Ocean modeling for ENSO. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 103(C7): 14325-14355. PDF ABS
137. Cane, M. A., A. C. Clement, A. Kaplan, Y. Kushnir, D. Pozdnyakov, R. Seager, S. E. Zebiak and R. Murtugudde, 1997: Twentieth-century sea surface temperature trends. Science, 275(5302): 957-960. PDF ABS
138. Seager, R. and R. Murtugudde, 1997: Ocean dynamics, thermocline adjustment, and regulation of tropical SST. Journal of Climate, 10(3): 521-534. PDF ABS
139. Clement, A. C., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and S. E. Zebiak, 1996: An ocean dynamical thermostat. Journal of Climate, 9(9): 2190-2196. PDF ABS
140. Murtugudde, R., R. Seager and A. J. Busalacchi, 1996: Simulation of the tropical oceans with an ocean GCM coupled to an atmospheric mixed-layer model. Journal of Climate, 9(8): 1795-1815. PDF ABS
141. Seager, R. and S. E. Zebiak, 1995: Simulation of Tropical Climate with a Linear Primitive Equation Model. Journal of Climate, 8(10): 2497-2520. PDF ABS
142. Seager, R., M. B. Blumenthal and Y. Kushnir, 1995: An Advective Atmospheric Mixed-Layer Model for Ocean Modeling Purposes - Global Simulation of Surface Heat Fluxes. Journal of Climate, 8(8): 1951-1964. PDF ABS
143. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir and M. A. Cane, 1995: On heat flux boundary conditions for ocean models. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 25(12): 3219-3230. PDF ABS
144. Seager, R. and M. B. Blumenthal, 1994: Modeling Tropical Pacific Sea-Surface Temperature with Satellite-Derived Solar Radiative Forcing. Journal of Climate, 7(12): 1943-1957. PDF ABS
145. Seager, R. and S. E. Zebiak, 1994: Convective Interaction with Dynamics in a Linear Primitive Equation Model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 51(10): 1307-1331. PDF ABS
146. Seager, R., 1991: A Simple-Model of the Climatology and Variability of the Low-Level Wind-Field in the Tropics. Journal of Climate, 4(2): 164-179. PDF ABS
147. Seager, R., 1989: Modeling Tropical Pacific Sea-Surface Temperature - 1970-87. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 19(4): 419-434. PDF ABS
148. Seager, R., S. E. Zebiak and M. A. Cane, 1988: A Model of the Tropical Pacific Sea-Surface Temperature Climatology. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 93(C2): 1265-1280. PDF ABS

The database was updated today.

Maintained by: Virginia DiBlasi, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University