Publications by Jason Smerdon
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1. Beltrami, H. , G. Matharoo and J.E. Smerdon, 2015: Ground surface temperature and continental heat gain in a warming climate: Uncertainties from underground. Environ. Res. Lett.: in press.
2. Beltrami, H., G. S. Matharoo and J. E. Smerdon, 2015: Impact of borehole depths on reconstructed estimates of ground surface temperature histories and energy storage. Journal of Geophysical Research-Earth Surface, 120(5): 763-778. PDF ABS
3. Coats, S. , B.I. Cook, J.E. Smerdon and R. Seager, 2015: North American Pancontinental Droughts in Model Simulations of the Last Millennium. J. Climate, 28: 2025-2043, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00634.1. PDF
4. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Are Simulated Megadroughts in the North American Southwest Forced? J. Climate, 28: 124-142, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00071.1 PDF
5. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, D. Griffin and B.I. Cook, 2015: Winter-to-Summer Precipitation Phasing in Southwestern North America: A Multi-century perspective from Paleoclimatic Model-Data Comparisons. J. Geo. Res. - Atmos.: in press. PDF
6. Cook, B.I., RT.R. Ault and J.E. Smerdon, 2015: Unprecedented 21st-Century Drought Risk in the American Southwest and Central Plains. Science Advances: 1-7, :e140008. PDF
7. Esper, J., L. Schneider, J.E. Smerdon, B. Schöne and U. Büntgen, 2015: Signals and memory in tree-ring width and density data. Dendrochronologia: in press. PDF
8. Li, B., X. Zhang and J.E. Smerdon, 2015: Skill Assessments of Climate Field Reconstructions. J. Amer. Statis. Assoc.: submitted. PDF
9. Schneider, L., J.E. Smerdon, U. Büntgen, RJ.S. Wilson, V.S. Myglan, A.V. Kirdyanov and J.Esper, 2015: Revising mid-latitude summer-temperatures back to AD 600 based on a wood density network. Geo. Res. Let., 42: 4556-4562, doi:10.1002/2015GL063956. PDF
10. Smerdon, J. E., B. I. Cook, E. R. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Bridging Past and Future Climate across Paleoclimatic Reconstructions, Observations, and Models: A Hydroclimate Case Study. Journal of Climate, 28(8): 3212-3231. PDF ABS
11. Smerdon, J.E., S. Coats and T.R. Ault, 2015: Model-Dependent Spatial Skill in Pseudoproxy Experiments Testing Climate Field Reconstruction Methods for the Common Era. Clim Dyn.: 2684, DOI: 10.1007/s00382-015-2684-0. PDF
12. Williams, A.P., R. Seager, J.T. Abatzoglou, B.I. Cook and J.E. Smerdon, 2015: Contribution of anthropogenic warming to the 2012–2014 California drought. Geo. Res. Let.: in review. PDF
13. Ballard, T., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, A.J. Ray, B. Rajagopalan, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2014: Hydroclimate Variability and Change in the Prairie Pothole Region, the “Duck Factory” of North America. Earth Interactions, 18(No. 14): 1-28, DOI: 10.1175/EI-D-14-0004.1. PDF
14. Beltrami, H., G.S. Matharoo, L. Tarasov, V. Rath and J.E. Smerdon, 2014: Numerical Studies on the Impact of the Last Glacial Cycle on recent borehole temperature profiles: impications for terrestrial energy balance. Climate of the Past, 10: 1693-1706, doi:10.5194/cp-10-1693-2014. PDF
15. Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and E.R. Cook, 2014: Pan-Continental Droughts in North America over the Last Millennium. J. Climate, 27: 383-397, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00100.1. PDF
16. Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and Sloan Coats, 2014: Global Warming and Drought in the 21st Century. Clim. Dyn.: DOI 10.1007/s00382-014-2075-y. PDF
17. Cook, B.I., R. Seager and J.E. Smerdon, 2014: The worst North American drought year of the last millennium: 1934. Geo. Res. Let., 41: doi:10.1002/2014GL061661. PDF
18. Evans, M.N., J.E. Smerdon, A. Kaplan, S.E. Tolwinski-Ward and J.F. Gonzalez-Rouco, 2014: Climate field reconstruction uncertainty arising from multivariate and nonlinear properties of predictors. Geo. Res. Let., 41: doi:10.1002/2014GL062063. PDF
19. Kaufman, D., K. Anchukaitis, U. Büentgen, J. Emile-Geay, M. N. Evans, H. Goosse, J. Luterbacher, J. Smerdon, M. Tingley and L. von Gunten, 2014: A Community-Driven Framework for Climate Reconstructions EOS, 95(40): 361-368. PDF
20. Wahl, E. R., H. F. Diaz, J. E. Smerdon and C. M. Ammann, 2014: Late winter temperature response to large tropical volcanic eruptions in temperate western North America: Relationship to ENSO phases. Global and Planetary Change, 122: 238-250, doi: 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2014.08.005. PDF ABS
21. Wang, J., J. Emile-Geay, D. Guillot, J. E. Smerdon and B. Rajaratnam, 2014: Evaluating climate field reconstruction techniques using improved emulations of real-world conditions. Climate of the Past, 10(1): 1-19, doi:10.5194/cp-10-1-2014. PDF ABS
22. Ahmed, M., K. J. Anchukaitis, A. Asrat, H. P. Borgaonkar, M. Braida, B. M. Buckley, U. Buntgen, B. M. Chase, D. A. Christie, E. R. Cook, M. A. J. Curran, H. F. Diaz, J. Esper, Z. X. Fan, N. P. Gaire, Q. S. Ge, J. Gergis, J. F. Gonzalez-Rouco, H. Goosse, S. W. Grab, N. Graham, R. Graham, M. Grosjean, S. T. Hanhijarvi, D. S. Kaufman, T. Kiefer, K. Kimura, A. A. Korhola, P. J. Krusic, A. Lara, A. M. Lezine, F. C. Ljungqvist, A. M. Lorrey, J. Luterbacher, V. Masson-Delmotte, D. McCarroll, J. R. McConnell, N. P. McKay, M. S. Morales, A. D. Moy, R. Mulvaney, I. A. Mundo, T. Nakatsuka, D. J. Nash, R. Neukom, S. E. Nicholson, H. Oerter, J. G. Palmer, S. J. Phipps, M. R. Prieto, A. Rivera, M. Sano, M. Severi, T. M. Shanahan, X. M. Shao, F. Shi, M. Sigl, J. E. Smerdon, O. N. Solomina, E. J. Steig, B. Stenni, M. Thamban, V. Trouet, C. S. M. Turney, M. Umer, T. van Ommen, D. Verschuren, A. E. Viau, R. Villalba, B. M. Vinther, L. von Gunten, S. Wagner, E. R. Wahl, H. Wanner, J. P. Werner, J. W. C. White, K. Yasue, E. Zorita and Pages 2k Consortium, 2013: Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience, 6(5): 339-346. PDF ABS
23. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2013: Stationarity of the tropical Pacific teleconnection North America in CMIP5/PMIP3 Model Simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40: doi:10.1002/grl.50938. PDF
24. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, B.I. Cook and J.F. Gonzáez-Rouco, 2013: Megadroughts in Southwestern North America in ECHO-G Millennial Simulations and their Comparison to Proxy Drought Reconstructions. J. Climate, 26: 7635-7649, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00603.1. PDF
25. Tierney, J. E., J. E. Smerdon, K. J. Anchukaitis and R. Seager, 2013: Multidecadal variability in East African hydroclimate controlled by the Indian Ocean. Nature, 493(7432): 389-392, doi:10.1038/nature11785. PDF ABS
26. Werner, J. P., J. Luterbacher and J. E. Smerdon, 2013: A Pseudoproxy Evaluation of Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling and Canonical Correlation Analysis for Climate Field Reconstructions over Europe. Journal of Climate, 26(3): 851-867. PDF ABS
27. Karnauskas, K.B., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and J.F. Gonzáles-Roucho, 2012: A Pacific Centennial Oscillation Predicted by Coupled GCMs. J. Climate, 25: 5,943-5961, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00421.1. PDF
28. Li, B. and J.E. Smerdon, 2012: Defining spatial assessment metrics for evaluation of paleoclimatic field reconstructions of the Common Era. Evnironmetrics: doi:10.1002/env.2142. PDF
29. Smerdon, J.E., 2012: Climate models as a test bed for climate reconstruction methods: pseudoproxy experiments. WIREs Climate Change(3): 63-67, doi:10.1002/wcc.149. PDF
30. Wahl, E.R. and J.E. Smerdon, 2012: Comparative performance of paleoclimatic field and index reconstructions derived from climate proxies and noise-only predictors. Geo. Res. Let., 39, L06703: doi:10.1029/2012GL051086. PDF
31. Beltrami, H., J. E. Smerdon, G. S. Matharoo and N. Nickerson, 2011: Impact of maximum borehole depths on inverted temperature histories in borehole paleoclimatology. Climate of the Past, 7(3): 745-756. PDF ABS
32. Beltrami, H., J.E. Smerdon, G.S. Matharoo and N. Nickerson, 2011: Impact of maximum borehole depths on inverted temperature histories in borehole paleoclimatology. Climate of the Past, 7(3): doi:10.5194/cp-7-745-2011. PDF
33. D'Arrigo, R., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, A.N. LeGrande and E.R. Cook, 2011: The anomalous winter of 1783-1784: Was the Laki eruption or an analog of the 2009-2010 winter to blame? Geo. Res. Lett. , 38: L05706, doi:10.1029/2011GL046696. PDF
34. Smerdon, J.E., 2011: Discussion of: A Statistical Analysis of Multiple Temperature Proxies: Are Reconstructions of Surface Temperatures Over the Last 1000 Years Reliable? Annals of Applied Statistics, 5(1): 76-79. PDF
35. Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan, D. Chang and M.N. Evans, 2011: A Pseudoproxy Evaluation of the CCA and RegEM Methods for Reconstructing Climate Fields of the Last Millennium. J. Climate, 24: 1284-1309, DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI4110.1. PDF
36. Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan, E. Zorita and J.F. González-Rouco, 2011: Spatial performance of four climate field reconstruction methods targeting the Common Ear. Geo. Res. Lett., 38: L11705, doi:10.1029/2011GL047372. PDF
37. Lesperance, M., J.E. Smerdon and H. Beltrami, 2010: Propagation of linear surface air temperature trends into the terrestrial subsurface. J. Geophys. Res., 115(D21115): DOI:10.1029/2010JD014377. PDF
38. Smerdon, J.E., A. Kaplan and D.E. Amrhein, 2010: Erroneous Model Field Representations in Multiple Pseudoproxy Studies: Corrections and Implications. J. Climate, 23: DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3742.1. PDF
39. Smerdon, J. E., H. Beltrami, C. Creelman and M. B. Stevens, 2009: Characterizing land surface processes: A quantitative analysis using air-ground thermal orbits. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 114: doi:10.1029/2009JD011768. PDF ABS
40. D'Arrigo, R. , R. Allan, R. Wilson, . Palmer, J. Sakulich, J. E. Smerdon, S. Bijaksana and L. Ode Ngkoimani, 2008: Pacific and Indian Ocean climate signals in a tree-ring record of Java monsoon drought. International Journal of Climatology, 28(1889-1901): doi:10.1002/joc.1679. PDF
41. D'Arrigo, R. and J.E. Smerdon, 2008: Tropical climate influences on drought variability over Java, Indonesia. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35(L05707): doi:10.1029/2007GL032589. PDF
42. Smerdon, J. E. , J. F. Gonzalez-Rouco and E. Zorita, 2008: Comment on "Robustness of proxy-based climate field reconstruction methods" by Michael E. Mann et al. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113(D18106): doi:10.1029/2007JD009542. PDF
43. Smerdon, J. E., A. Kaplan and D. Chang, 2008: On the Origin of the Standardization Sensitivity in RegEM Climate Field Reconstructions. Journal of Climate, 21(24): 6710-6723, DOI: 10.1175/2008JCLI2182.1. PDF ABS
44. Hegerl, G. C. , T. J. Crowley, M. Allen, W. T. Hyde, H. N. Pollack, J. E. Smerdon and E. Zorita, 2007: Detection of human influence on a new, validated 1500-year temperature reconstruction, Journal of Climate, pp. 650-666. PDF
45. Smerdon, J. E. and A. Kaplan, 2007: Comment on 'Testing the fidelity of methods used in proxy-based reconstructions of past climate': The role of the standardization interval, by Mann et al. Journal of Climate, 20(22): 5666-5670. PDF
46. Stevens, M. B. , J. E. Smerdon, J. F. Gonzalez-Rouco, M. Stieglitz and H. Beltrami, 2007: Effects of bottom boundary placement on subsurface heat storage: Implications for climate model simulations, Geophysical Research Letters, pp. L02702, doi:10.1029/2006GL028546. PDF
47. Stieglitz, M. and J. E. Smerdon, 2007: Characterizing land-atmosphere coupling and the implications for subsurface thermodynamics. Journal of Climate, 20: 21-37. PDF
48. Pollack, H. N. , S. Huang and J. E. Smerdon, 2006: Five centuries of climate change in Australia: The view from underground, Journal of Quaternary Science, pp. 701-706. PDF
49. Smerdon, J. E. and M. Stieglitz, 2006: Simulating heat transport of harmonic temperature signals in the Earth's shallow subsurface: Lower-boundary sensitivities. Geophysical Research Letters, 33(L14402): doi:10.1029/2006GL026816. PDF
50. Smerdon, J. E., H. N. Pollack, V. Cermak, J. W. Enz, M. Kresl, J. Safanda and J. F. Wehmiller, 2006: Daily, seasonal and annual relationships between air and subsurface temperatures. J. Geophys. Res., 111(D07101): doi:10.1029/2004JD005578. PDF ABS
51. Pollack, H. N., J. E. Smerdon and P. E. vanKeken, 2005: Variable seasonal coupling between air and ground temperatures: A simple representation in terms of subsurface thermal diffusity. Geophys. Res. Lett., 32, L15405: doi:10.1029/2005GL023869. PDF
52. Pollack, H. N. and J. E. Smerdon, 2004: Borehole climate reconstructions: Spatial structure and hemispheric averages. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 109(D11): doi:10.1029/2003JD004163. PDF ABS
53. Smerdon, J. E., H. N. Pollack, V. Cermak, J. W. Enz, M. Kresl, J. Safanda and J. F. Wehmiller, 2004: Air-ground temperature coupling and subsurface propagation of annual temperature signals. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 109(D21): doi:10.1029/2004JD005056. PDF ABS
54. Lin, X. H., J. E. Smerdon, A. W. England and H. N. Pollack, 2003: A model study of the effects of climatic precipitation changes on ground temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 108(D7): doi:10.1029/2002JD002878. PDF ABS
55. Pollack, H. N., D. Y. Demezhko, A. D. Duchkov, I. V. Golovanova, S. P. Huang, V. A. Shchapov and J. E. Smerdon, 2003: Surface temperature trends in Russia over the past five centuries reconstructed from borehole temperatures. Journal of Geophysical Research-Solid Earth, 108(B4): doi:10.1029/2002JB002154. PDF ABS
56. Smerdon, J. E., H. N. Pollack, J. W. Enz and M. J. Lewis, 2003: Conduction-dominated heat transport of the annual temperature signal in soil. Journal of Geophysical Research-Solid Earth, 108(B9): doi:10.1029/2002JB002351. PDF ABS
57. Beltrami, H., J. E. Smerdon, H. N. Pollack and S. P. Huang, 2002: Continental heat gain in the global climate system. Geophysical Research Letters, 29(8): doi:10.1029/2001GL014310. PDF ABS

The database was updated today.

Maintained by: Virginia DiBlasi, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University