Publications by Richard Seager

1. Anderson, W. , R. Seager, W. Baethgen and M.A. Cane, 2018: Trans-Pacific ENSO teleconnections pose a correlated risk to agriculture. Ag. Forest. Meteor.: In press.
2. Bishop, D., A. P. Williams, R. Seager, A. M. Fiore, B. I. Cook, J. S. Mankin, D. Singh, J. E. Smerdon and M. P. Rao, 2018: Investigating the causes of increased 20th-century precipitation over the southeastern United States. J. Climate: submitted.
3. Cook, B., A.P. Williams, J. Mankin, R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon and D. Singh, 2018: Revisiting the leading drivers of Pacific coastal drought variability in the contiguous United States. J. Climate: 31: 25-43, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0172.1. PDF
4. Giannini, A., B. Lyon, R. Seager and N. Vigaud, 2018: Dynamical and thermodynamic elements of modeled climate change at the East African margin of convection. Geo. Res. Lett., 45: 992-1000, doi:10.1002/2017GL075486. PDF
5. Jong, B.-T. , M. Ting, R. Seager and D.-E. Lee, 2018: Role of the equatorial Pacific SST forecast error in the late winter California precipitation forecast for the 2015-16 El Niño. J. Climate, 31: 839-852, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0145.1. PDF
6. Mankin, J.S., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, A.P. Williams and R.H. Horton, 2018: Blue Water Trade-Offs With Vegetation in a CO2-Enriched Climate. Geophys. Res. Lett., 45: 3115 - 3125, doi:10.1002/2018GL077051. PDF
7. Seager, R , A.P. Williams, J. Nakamura and J. Axelson, 2018: Analysis and modeling of interannual timescale coupling between drought and bark beetles across the American West. Ecosystems: submitted.
8. Seager, R. , T.J. Osborn, Y. Kushnir, I.R. Simpson, H. Liu and J. Nakamura, 2018: Climate variability and change in Mediterranean-type climate regions. J. Climate: submitted.
9. Seager, R., J. Feldman, N. Lis, M. Ting, A.P. Williams, J. Nakamura, H. Liu and N. Henderson, 2018: Wither the 100th meridian? The once and future physical and human geography of America’s arid-humid divide. Part II: The meridian moves east. Earth Interactions, 22(5): 1, DOI: 10.1175/EI-D-17-0012.1. PDF
10. Seager, R., N. Lis, J. Feldman, M. Ting, A.P. Williams, J. Nakamura, H. Liu and N. Henderson, 2018: Wither the 100th meridian? The once and future physical and human geography of America’s arid-humid divide. Part I: The story so far. Earth Interactions, 22(5): 1, DOI: 10.1175/EI-D-17-0011.1. PDF
11. Simpson, I.R , P. Hitchock, R. Seager, Y. Wu and P. Callaghan, 2018: The downward influence of uncertainty in the Northern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex response to climate change. J. Climate, 31(6371-6391, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0041.1). PDF
12. Singh, D., R. Seager, B.I. Cook, M.A. Cane, M. Ting, E.R. Cook and M. Davis, 2018: Climate and the great global famine of 1876-78. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci.: submitted.
13. Ting, M. , R. Seager, C. Li, H. Liu and N. Henderson, 2018: Mechanism of Future Spring Drying in the Southwest U.S. in CMIP5 Models. J. Climate, 31: 4265-4279, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0574.1. PDF
14. Anderson, W. , R Seager, W. Baethgen and M.A. Cane, 2017: Life cycles of agriculturally-relevant ENSO teleconnections in North and South America. Inter. J. Climatology, 37: 3297-3318. PDF
15. Anderson, W., R. Seager, W. Baethgen and M.A. Cane, 2017: Crop production variability in North and South America forced by life-cycles of the ElNiño Southern Oscillation. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 239: 151-165, doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.03.008. PDF
16. Baek, S.H. , J.E. Smerdon, S. Coats, A.P. Williams, B.I. Cook, E.R. Cook and R. Seager, 2017: Precipitation, temperature, and teleconnection signals across the combined North American, Monsoon Asia, and Old World Drought Atlases. J. Climate: 7141-7155, 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0766.1. PDF
17. Kelley, C. , S. Mohtadi, M.A. Cane, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2017: Commentary on the Syria case: Climate as a contributing factor, Political Geography, pp. 1-3, http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.polgeo.2017.06.013. PDF
18. Mankin, J.S. , J.E Smerdon, B.I. Cook, A. Park Williams and R. Seager, 2017: The curious case of projected 21st-century drying but greening in the American West. J. Climate: doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0213.1. PDF
19. Pascolini-Campbell, M.A., R. Seager, A. Pinson and B.I. Cook, 2017: Covariability of climate and streamflow in the Upper Rio Grande from interannual to interdecadal timescales. J. Hydrology: Regional Studies 3, 13: 58 - 71, doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2017.07.007. PDF
20. Scheff, J. , R. Seager, H. Liu and S. Coats, 2017: Are glacials dry? Consequences for paleoclimatology and for greenhouse warming. J. Climate: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0854.1. PDF
21. Seager, R. and M. Ting, 2017: Decadal Drought Variability Over North America: Mechanisms and Predictability. Curr Clim Change Rep: 1, doi:10.1007/s40641-017-0062-1. PDF
22. Seager, R. , N. Henderson, M.A. Cane, H. Liu and J. Nakamura, 2017: Is There a Role for Human-Induced Climate Change in the Precipitation Decline that Drove the California Drought? J. Climate, 30: 10237-10258, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-17-0192.1. PDF
23. Williams, A.P. , B.I. Cook, J.E. Smerdon, D.A. Bishop, R. Seager and J.S. Mankin, 2017: The 2016 southeastern US drought: an extreme departure from centennial wetting and cooling. Geo. Res. Atmos., 122(20): 10888-10905, doi:10.1002/2017JD027523. PDF
24. Coats, S., J. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, R. Seager, E.R. Cook and K. Achukaitis, 2016: Internal ocean-atmsophere variability drives megadroughts in Western North America. Nature, 43: 9886–9894, doi:10.1002/2016GL070105. PDF
25. Jong, B.-T., M. Ting and R. Seager, 2016: El Niño's impact on California precipitation: seasonality, regionality, and El Niño intensity. Environ. Res. Lett., 11: 1 - 8, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/054021. PDF
26. Ramesh, N., M.A. Cane and R. Seager, 2016: Predictability and prediction of persistent cool states of the tropical Pacific Ocean. Clim. Dyn.: DOI 10.1007/s00382-016-3446-3. PDF
27. Schubert, S. D., R. E. Stewart, H. L. Wang, M. Barlow, E. H. Berbery, W. J. Cai, M. P. Hoerling, K. K. Kanikicharla, R. D. Koster, B. Lyon, A. Mariotti, C. R. Mechoso, O. V. Muller, B. Rodriguez-Fonseca, R. Seager, S. I. Senevirante, L. X. Zhang and T. J. Zhou, 2016: Global Meteorological Drought: A Synthesis of Current Understanding with a Focus on SST Drivers of Precipitation Deficits. Journal of Climate, 29(11): 3989-4019, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0452.1. PDF ABS
28. Seager, R. and I.R. Simpson, 2016: Western boundary currents and climate change. J. Geo. Res.: Oceans, 121: doi:10.1002/2016JC012156. PDF
29. Seager, R., 2016: Physical Mechanisms of the California Drought, Harvard College Review of Environment & Society. PDF
30. Simpson, I., R. Seager, M. Ting and T. Shaw, 2016: Causes of change in Northern Hemisphere winter meridional wind and regional hydroclimate. Nature Clim. Change, 6: 65-70, DOI: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2783. PDF ABS
31. Biasutti, M. and R. Seager, 2015: Projected changes in US rainfall erosivity. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 19(6): 2945-2961. PDF ABS
32. Coats, S. , B.I. Cook, J.E. Smerdon and R. Seager, 2015: North American Pancontinental Droughts in Model Simulations of the Last Millennium. J. Climate, 28: 2025-2043, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00634.1. PDF
33. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Are Simulated Megadroughts in the North American Southwest Forced? J. Climate, 28: 124-142, doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00071.1 PDF
34. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, D. Griffin and B.I. Cook, 2015: Winter-to-Summer Precipitation Phasing in Southwestern North America: A Multi-century perspective from Paleoclimatic Model-Data Comparisons. J. Geo. Res. - Atmos., 120: 8052–8064, doi:10.1002/2015JD023085. PDF
35. Cook, E.R., R. Seager, Y. Kushnir, K. Briffa, U. Buntgen, D. Frabk, P. Krusic, W. Tegel, G. van der Schrier, L. Andreu-Hayles, M. Baillie, C. Baitttinger, A. Billambo, N. Bleicher, N. Bonde, D. Brown, M. Carrer, R. Cooper, K. Cufar, C. Dittmar, J. Esper, C. Giggs, B. Gunnarson, B. Gunther, E. Gutierrez, K. Haneca, S. Helem, F. Herzig, K.-U. Heussner, J. Hofman, P. Janda, R. Kontic, N. Kose, T. Kyncl, T. Levanic, H. Linderholm, S. Manning, T. Melvin, D. Miles, B. Neuwirth, K. Nicolussi, P. Nola, M. Panayotov, I. Popa, A. Rothe, K. Seftigen, A. Seim, H. Svarva, M. Svoboda, T. Thun, M. Timonen, R. Touchan, V. Trotsiuk, V. Truet, F. Walder, T. Wazny, R. Wilson and C. Zang, 2015: Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era. Sci. Adv.: 1- 9, doi:10.1126/sciadv.1500561. PDF
36. Kelley, C.S., S. Mohtadi, M.A. Cane, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2015: Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought. Proc. Nat. Acad. Sci, 112(11): 3241 - 3246, doi/10.1073/pnas.1421533112. LINK PDF
37. Pascolini-Campbell, M.A., R. Seager, D.S. Gutzler, B.I. Cook and D. Griffin, 2015: Causes of Interannual to decadal variability of Gila Riverstreamflow over the past century. J. Hydrology: Regional Studies 3: 494-508. PDF
38. Seager, R., 2015: Decadal hydroclimate variability across the Americas. In: M.a.B. In Climate Change (Editor), C.-P. Chang, M. Ghil, M. Latif and J.M. Wallace. World Scientific Publishing Co., Singapore, pp. 235-253. PDF
39. Seager, R., A. Hooks, A.P. Williams, B.I. Cook, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2015: Climatology, Variability, and Trends in U.S. Vapor Pressure Deficit, an Important Fire-Related Meteorological Quantity. J. Applied Meteorlogy and Climatology, 54: 1121-1141, DOI: 10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0321.1. PDF
40. Seager, R., M. Hoerling, S. Schubert, H. L. Wang, B. Lyon, A. Kumar, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2015: Causes of the 2011-14 California Drought. Journal of Climate, 28(18): 6997-7024, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00860.1. PDF ABS
41. Simpson, I., R. Seager, T. Shaw and M. Ting, 2015: Mediterranean summer climate and the importance of Middle East topography. J. Climate, 28: 1977-1996, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00298.1. PDF
42. Smerdon, J. E., B. I. Cook, E. R. Cook and R. Seager, 2015: Bridging Past and Future Climate across Paleoclimatic Reconstructions, Observations, and Models: A Hydroclimate Case Study. Journal of Climate, 28(8): 3212-3231. PDF ABS
43. Williams, A. P., R. E. Schwartz, S. Iacobellis, R. Seager, B. I. Cook, C. J. Still, G. Husak and J. Michaelsen, 2015: Urbanization causes increased cloud base height and decreased fog in coastal Southern California. Geophysical Research Letters, 42(5): 1527-1536, doi: 10.1002/2015GL063266. PDF ABS
44. Williams, A.P., R. Seager, J.T. Abatzoglou, B.I. Cook and J.E. Smerdon, 2015: Contribution of anthropogenic warming to the 2012–2014 California drought. Geo. Res. Let., 42: 6819–6828, doi:10.1002/2015GL064924. LINK PDF
45. Yang, W., R. Seager, M.A. Cane and B. Lyon, 2015: The Annual Cycle of East African Precipitation. J. Climate, 28: 2385-2404, DOI:10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00484.1. PDF
46. Yang, W., R. Seager, M.A. Cane and B. Lyon, 2015: The rainfall annual cycle bias over East Africa induced by CMIP5 coupled climate models. J. Climate, 28: 9789-9802, doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0323.1. PDF
47. Ballard, T., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook, A.J. Ray, B. Rajagopalan, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura and N. Henderson, 2014: Hydroclimate Variability and Change in the Prairie Pothole Region, the “Duck Factory” of North America. Earth Interactions, 18(No. 14): 1-28, DOI: 10.1175/EI-D-14-0004.1. PDF
48. Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and E.R. Cook, 2014: Pan-Continental Droughts in North America over the Last Millennium. J. Climate, 27: 383-397, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00100.1. PDF
49. Cook, B.I., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and Sloan Coats, 2014: Global Warming and Drought in the 21st Century. Clim. Dyn.: DOI 10.1007/s00382-014-2075-y. PDF
50. Cook, B.I., R. Seager and J.E. Smerdon, 2014: The worst North American drought year of the last millennium: 1934. Geo. Res. Let., 41: doi:10.1002/2014GL061661. PDF
51. Gonzalez, P. L. M., L. M. Polvani, R. Seager and G. J. P. Correa, 2014: Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America. Climate Dynamics, 42(7-8): 1775-1792. ABS
52. Hoerling, M., J. Eischeid, A. Kumar, R. Leung, A. Mariotti, K. Mo, S. Schubert and R. Seager, 2014: Causes and Predictability of the 2012 Great Plains Drought. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: 269-282. PDF
53. Maloney, E., S.J. Camargo, E. Chang, B. Collee, R. Fu, K. Geil, Q. Hu, X. Jiang, N. Johnson, K. Karnauskas, J. Kinter, B. Kirkman, S. Kumar, B. Langenbrunner, K. Lombardo, L. Long, A. Mariotti, J. Meyerson, K. Mo, D. Neelin, Z. Pan, R. Seager, Y. Serra, A. Seth, J. Sheffield, J. Stroeve, J. Thibeault, S.-P. Xie, C. Wang, B. Wyman and M. Zhao, 2014: North American Climate in the CMIP5 experiments. Part III: Assessment of 21st century projections. . J. Climate, 27: 2230-2270, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00273.1. PDF
54. Seager, R. and M. Hoerling, 2014: Atmosphere and Ocean Origins of North American Droughts. J. Climate, 27: 4581-4606. PDF
55. Seager, R., D. Neelin, I. Simpson, H. Liu, N. Henderson, T. Shaw, Y. Kushnir, M. Ting and B.I. Cook, 2014: Dynamical and Thermodynamical Causes of Large-Scale Changes in the Hydrological Cycle over North America in Response to Global Warming. J. Climate, 27: 7921-7948, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00153.1. PDF
56. Seager, R., H. Liu, N. Henderson, I. Simpson, C. Kelley, T. Shaw, Y. Kushnir and M. Ting, 2014: Causes of Increasing Aridification of the Mediterranean Region in Response to Rising Greenhouse Gases. J. Climate, 27: 4655-4675, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00446.1. PDF
57. Seager, R., L. Goddard, J. Nakamura, N. Henderson and D. Lee, 2014: Dynamical causes of the 2010/11 Texas-northern Mexico drought. J. Hydrometeorology, 15(1): doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-13-024.1. PDF
58. Simpson, I.R., T.A. Shaw and R. Seager, 2014: A Diagnosis of the Seasonally and Longitudinally Varying Midlatitude Circulation Response to Global Warming. J. Atmos. Sci., 71: 2489-2515, DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-13-0325.1. PDF
59. Williams, A.P., R. Seager, A.K. Macalady, M. Berkelhammer, M.A. Crimmins, T.W. Swetnam, A.T. Trugman, N. Buenning, D. Noone, N.G. McDowell, N. Hryniw, C.I. More and T. Rahn, 2014: Correlations between components of the water balance and burned area reveal new insights for predicting forest fire area in the southwest United States. International Journal of Wildland Fire: http://dx.doi.org/10.1071/WF14023. PDF
60. Williams, A.P., R. Seager, M. Berkelhammer, A. Macalady, M. Crimmins, T. Swetnam, A. Trugman, N. Buenning, N. Hryniw, N. McDowell, D. Noone, C. Mora and T. Rahn, 2014: Causes and Implications of Extreme Atmospheric Moisture Demand during the Record-Breaking 2011 Wildfire Season in the Southwest United States. J. Appl. Meteor. Climatol, 53: 2671-2684, DOI :10.1175/JAMC-D-14-0053.1. PDF
61. Yang, W. C., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and B. Lyon, 2014: The East African Long Rains in Observations and Models. Journal of Climate, 27(19): 7185-7202, Doi 10.1175/Jcli-D-13-00447.1. PDF ABS
62. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, B.I. Cook and R. Seager, 2013: Stationarity of the tropical Pacific teleconnection North America in CMIP5/PMIP3 Model Simulations. Geophys. Res. Lett., 40: doi:10.1002/grl.50938. PDF
63. Coats, S., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager, B.I. Cook and J.F. Gonzáez-Rouco, 2013: Megadroughts in Southwestern North America in ECHO-G Millennial Simulations and their Comparison to Proxy Drought Reconstructions. J. Climate, 26: 7635-7649, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00603.1. PDF
64. Cook, B.I. and R. Seager, 2013: The response of the North American Monsoon to increased greenhouse gas forcing. J. Climate, 118: 1690-1699, doi:10.1002/jgrd.50111. PDF
65. Cook, B.I., R. Seager, R.L. Miller and J.A. Mason, 2013: Intensification of North American megadroughts through surface and dust aerosol forcing. J. Climate, 26: 4414-4430, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00022.1. PDF
66. Frierson, D. M. W., Y. T. Hwang, N. S. Fuckar, R. Seager, S. M. Kang, A. Donohoe, E. A. Maroon, X. J. Liu and D. S. Battisti, 2013: Contribution of ocean overturning circulation to tropical rainfall peak in the Northern Hemisphere. Nature Geoscience, 6(11): 940-944. PDF ABS
67. Gonzalez, P.L.M., L.M. Polvani, R. Seager and G.J.P. Correa, 2013: Stratospheric ozone depletion: a key driver of recent precipitation trends in South Eastern South America. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-013-1777-x. PDF
68. Nakamura, J., U. Lall, Y. Kushnir, A.W. Robertson and R. Seager, 2013: Dynamical Structure of Extreme Floods in the U.S. Midwest and the United Kingdom. J. Hydrometeor., 14: 485-504. PDF
69. Pederson, N., A.R. Bell, E.R. Cook, U. Lall, N. Devineni, R. Seager, K. Eggleston and K.J. Vranes, 2013: Is an Epic Pluvial Masking the Water Insecurity of the Greater New York City Region. J. Climate, 26: 1339-1354, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00723.1. PDF
70. Seager, R. and B. Cook, 2013: Dust Bowl, Encyclopedia of Natural Hazards. Encyclopedia of Earth Sciences Series, pp. 197-201. PDF
71. Seager, R. and N. Henderson, 2013: Diagnostic computation of moisture budgets in the 1 ERA-Interim Reanalysis with reference to analysis of 2 CMIP-archived atmospheric model data. J. Climate, 26: 7876 - 7901, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00018.1. PDF
72. Seager, R., M. Ting, C. Li, N. Naik(Henderson), B. Cook, J. Nakamura and H. Liu, 2013: Projections of declining surface-water availability for southwestern United States. Nature Climatic Change: doi:10.1038/nclimate1787. PDF
73. Sheffield, J., S. J. Camargo, R. Fu, Q. Hu, X. A. Jiang, N. Johnson, K. B. Karnauskas, S. T. Kim, J. Kinter, S. Kumar, B. Langenbrunner, E. Maloney, A. Mariotti, J. E. Meyerson, J. D. Neelin, S. Nigam, Z. T. Pan, A. Ruiz-Barradas, R. Seager, Y. L. Serra, D. Z. Sun, C. Z. Wang, S. P. Xie, J. Y. Yu, T. Zhang and M. Zhao, 2013: North American Climate in CMIP5 Experiments. Part II: Evaluation of Historical Simulations of Intraseasonal to Decadal Variability. Journal of Climate, 26(23): 9247-9290, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00593.1. PDF ABS
74. Tierney, J. E., J. E. Smerdon, K. J. Anchukaitis and R. Seager, 2013: Multidecadal variability in East African hydroclimate controlled by the Indian Ocean. Nature, 493(7432): 389-392, doi:10.1038/nature11785. PDF ABS
75. Williams, A. P., C. D. Allen, A. K. Macalady, D. Griffin, C. A. Woodhouse, D. M. Meko, T. W. Swetnam, S. A. Rauscher, R. Seager, H. D. Grissino-Mayer, J. S. Dean, E. R. Cook, C. Gangodagamage, M. Cai and N. G. McDowell, 2013: Temperature as a potent driver of regional forest drought stress and tree mortality. Nature Climate Change, 3(3): 292-297. PDF ABS
76. Wu, Y., L. Polvani and R. Seager, 2013: The Importance of the Montreal Protocol in Protecting the Earth's Hydroclimate. J. Climate, 26: 4049-4068, doi:10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00675.1. PDF
77. Wu, Y., R. Seager, T.A. Shaw, M. Ting and N. Naik(Henderson), 2013: Atmospheric Circulation Response to An Instantaneous Doubling of Carbon Dioxide Part II: Atmospheric Transient Adjustment and its Dynamics. J. Climate(26): 918-935, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00104.1. PDF
78. Yang, W., R. Seager and M.A. Cane, 2013: Zonal Momentum Balance in the Tropical Atmospheric Circulation during the Global Monsoon Mature Months. J. Atmos. Sci., 70: 583-599, DOI: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0140.1. PDF
79. Karnauskas, K.B., J.E. Smerdon, R. Seager and J.F. Gonzáles-Roucho, 2012: A Pacific Centennial Oscillation Predicted by Coupled GCMs. J. Climate, 25: 5,943-5961, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00421.1. PDF
80. Kelley, C., M. Ting, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2012: Mediterranean precipitation climatology, season cycle, and trend as simulated by CMIP5. Geophys. Res. Lett., 39: L21703, doi:10.1029/2012GL053416. PDF
81. Ruff, T.W., Y. Kushnir and R. Seager, 2012: Comparing Twentieth- and Twenty-First-Century Patterns of Interannual Precipitation Variability over the Western United States and Northern Mexico. J. Hydrometeorology, 13: 366-378, DOI: 10.1175/JHM-D-10-05003.1. PDF
82. Seager, R. and N. Naik(Henderson), 2012: A mechanisms-based approach for detecting recent anthropogenic hydroclimate change. J. Climate, 25(1): 236-261, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00056.1. PDF
83. Seager, R., N. Naik(Henderson) and L. Vogel, 2012: Does global warming cause intensified interannual hydroclimate variability? J. Climate, 25: 3355-3372. PDF
84. Seager, R., N. Pederson, Y. Kushnir and J. Nakamura, 2012: The 1960s Drought and the Subsequent Shift to a Wetter Climate in the Catskill Mountains Region of the New York City Watershed. J. Climate, 25: 6721-6742, DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00518.1. PDF
85. Wu, Y., R. Seager, M. Ting, N. Naik(Henderson) and T.A. Shaw, 2012: Atmospheric Curculation Response to An Instantaneous Doubling of Carbon Dioxide Part I: Model Experiments and Transient Thermal Response in the Troposphere. J. Climate, 25: 2862-2879, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00284.1. PDF
86. Cook, B.I., R. Seager and R.L. Miller, 2011: On the Causes and Dynamics of the Early Twentieth-Century North American Pluvial. J. Climate, 24: 5043, DOI: 10.1175/2011JCLI4201.1. PDF ABS
87. Cook, B.I., R. Seager and R.L. Miller, 2011: The impact of devegetated dune fields on North American climate during the late Medieval Climate Anomaly. Geo. Res. Letters, 38: L14704, doi:10.1029/2011GL047566. PDF
88. D'Arrigo, R., R. Seager, J.E. Smerdon, A.N. LeGrande and E.R. Cook, 2011: The anomalous winter of 1783-1784: Was the Laki eruption or an analog of the 2009-2010 winter to blame? Geo. Res. Lett. , 38: L05706, doi:10.1029/2011GL046696. PDF
89. Kang, S.M and R. Seager, 2011: Croll Revisited: Why is the Northern Hemisphere Warmer than the Southern Hemisphere? J. Climate. PDF
90. Kelley, C., M. Ting, R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2011: The relative contributions of radiative forcing and internal climate variability to the late 20th Century drying of the Mediterranean region. Clim. Dyn.: DOI 10.1007/s00382-011-1221-z. PDF
91. Ting, M., Y. Kushnir, R. Seager and L. Cuihua, 2011: Robust features of Atlantic multi‐decadal variability and its climate impacts. Geo. Res. Letters, 38(L17705): doi:10.1029/2011GL048712. PDF
92. Burgman, R., R. Seager, A. C. Clement and C. Herweijer, 2010: Role of tropical Pacific SSTs in global medieval hydroclimate: A modeling study. Geophys. Res. Lett., 37(L06705): doi:10.1029/2009GL042239. PDF
93. Cook, B., R. Seager and R. Miller, 2010: Atmospheric circulation anomalies during two persistent North American droughts: 1932-1939 and 1948-1957. Climate Dynamics: 10.1007/s00382-010-0807-1. PDF
94. Cook, E. R., R. Seager, R. R. Heim, R. S. Vose, C. Herweijer and C. Woodhouse, 2010: Megadroughts in North America: placing IPCC projections of hydroclimatic change in a long-term palaeoclimate context. Journal of Quaternary Science, 25(1): 48-61. PDF ABS
95. Cook, I. B., E.R. Cook, K.J. Anchukaitis, R. Seager and R. L. Miller, 2010: Forced and unforced variability of twentieth century North American droughts and pluvials. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0897-9. PDF
96. Harnik, N., R. Seager, N. Naik(Henderson), M.A. Cane and M. Ting, 2010: The role of linear wave refraction in the transient eddy–mean flow response to tropical Pacific SST anomalies. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 136: 2132-2146. PDF
97. Kushnir, Y., R. Seager, M. Ting, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Nakamura, 2010: Mechanisms of Tropical Atlantic SST Influence on North American Precipitation Variability. Journal of Climate, 23: DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3172.1. PDF
98. Seager, R. , N. Naik(Henderson), W. Baethgen, A. Robertson, Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura and S. Jurburg, 2010: Tropical oceanic causes of interannual to multidecadal precipitation variability across southeast South America over the past century. Journal of Climate, 23: DOI: 10.1175/2010JCLI3578.1. PDF
99. Seager, R., N. Naik(Henderson) and G. A. Vecchi, 2010: Thermodynamic and Dynamic Mechanisms for Large-Scale Changes in the Hydrological Cycle in Response to Global Warming. Journal of Climate, 23(17): 4651-4668. PDF ABS
100. Seager, R., N. Naik(Henderson), M. Ting, M. A. Cane, N. Harnik and Y. Kushnir, 2010: Adjustment of the atmospheric circulation to tropical Pacific SST anomalies: Variability of transient eddy propagation in the Pacific-North America sector. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 136: 277-296. DOI: 10.1002/qj.588. PDF ABS
101. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, J. Nakamura, M. Ting and N. Naik(Henderson), 2010: Northern hemisphere winter snow anomalies: ENSO, NAO and the winter of 2009/10. Geo. Res. Letters, 37(L14703): doi:10.1029/2010GL043830. PDF
102. Wu, Y., M. Ting, R. Seager, M.A. Cane and H.-P. Huang, 2010: Changes in storm tracks and energy transports in a warmer climate simulated by the GFDL CM2.1 model. Climate Dynamics: DOI 10.1007/s00382-010-0776-4. PDF
103. Cook, B. I., R. L. Miller and R. Seager, 2009: Amplification of the North American "Dust Bowl" drought through human-induced land degradation. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 106(13): 4997-5001. PDF ABS
104. Karnauskas, K. B., R. Seager, A. Kaplan, Y. Kushnir and M. A. Cane, 2009: Observed Strengthening of the Zonal Sea Surface Temperature Gradient across the Equatorial Pacific Ocean. Journal of Climate, 22(16): 4316-4321. PDF ABS
105. Schubert, S., D. Gutzler, H. L. Wang, A. Dai, T. Delworth, C. Deser, K. Findell, R. Fu, W. Higgins, M. Hoerling, B. Kirtman, R. Koster, A. Kumar, D. Legler, D. Lettenmaier, B. Lyon, V. Magana, K. Mo, S. Nigam, P. Pegion, A. Phillips, R. Pulwarty, D. Rind, A. Ruiz-Barradas, J. Schemm, R. Seager, R. Stewart, M. Suarez, J. Syktus, M. F. Ting, C. Z. Wang, S. Weaver and N. Zeng, 2009: A US CLIVAR Project to Assess and Compare the Responses of Global Climate Models to Drought-Related SST Forcing Patterns: Overview and Results. Journal of Climate, 22(19): 5251-5272. PDF ABS
106. Seager, R., A. Tzanova and J. Nakamura, 2009: Drought in the Southeastern United States: Causes, Variability over the Last Millennium, and the Potential for Future Hydroclimate Change. Journal of Climate, 22(19): 5021-5045. PDF ABS
107. Seager, R., M. Ting, M. Davis, M. Cane, N. Naik(Henderson), J. Nakamura, C. Li, E. Cook and D. W. Stahle, 2009: Mexican drought: an observational modeling and tree ring study of variability and climate change. Atmosfera, 22(1): 1-31. PDF ABS
108. Stahle, D. W. , E. R. Cook, J. Villanueva Diaz, F. K. Fye, D. J. Burnette, R. D. Griffin, R. Acuna Soto, R. Seager and Jr. R. R. Heim, 2009: Early 21st-Century Drought in Mexico. EOS, Vol. 90(11): 89-100. PDF
109. Ting, M. F., Y. Kushnir, R. Seager and C. H. Li, 2009: Forced and Internal Twentieth-Century SST Trends in the North Atlantic. Journal of Climate, 22(6): 1469-1481. PDF ABS
110. Cook, B. I., R. L. Miller and R. Seager, 2008: Dust and sea surface temperature forcing of the 1930s "Dust Bowl" drought. Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L08710(8): doi:10.1029/2008GL033486. PDF ABS
111. Emile-Geay, J., R. Seager, M. A. Cane, E. R. Cook and G. H. Haug, 2008: Volcanoes and ENSO over the past millennium. Journal of Climate, 21(13): 3134-3148. doi: 10.1175/2007JCLI1884.1. PDF ABS
112. Herweijer, C. and R. Seager, 2008: The global footprint of persistent extra-tropical drought in the instrumental era. International Journal of Climatology, 28(13): 1761-1774. PDF ABS
113. Seager, R., 2008: Setting the record straight on Europe's mild winters. The Plantsman, Royal Horticultural Society, 7(Part 1): 22-27. PDF
114. Seager, R., R. Burgman, Y. Kushnir, A. Clement, E. Cook, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Miller, 2008: Tropical Pacific Forcing of North American Medieval Megadroughts: Testing the Concept with an Atmosphere Model Forced by Coral-Reconstructed SSTs. Journal of Climate, 21(23): 6175-6190. PDF ABS
115. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, M. Ting, M. Cane, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Miller, 2008: Would advance knowledge of 1930s SSTs have allowed prediction of the dust bowl drought? Journal of Climate, 21(13): 3261-3281. PDF ABS
116. Cook, E. R., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and D. W. Stahle, 2007: North American drought: Reconstructions, causes, and consequences. Earth-Science Reviews, 81(1-2): 93-134. PDF ABS
117. Emile-Geay, J., M. Cane, R. Seager, A. Kaplan and P. Almasi, 2007: El Niño as a mediator of the solar influence on climate. Paleoceanography, 22(3): PA3210, doi:10.1029/2006PA001304. PDF ABS
118. Herweijer, C., R. Seager, E. R. Cook and J. Emile-Geay, 2007: North American droughts of the last millennium from a gridded network of tree-ring data. Journal of Climate, 20(7): 1353-1376. PDF ABS
119. Murtugudde, R., R. Seager and P. Thoppi, 2007: Arabian Sea response to monsoon variations. Paleoceanography, 22(PA4217): doi:10.1029/2007PA001467. PDF ABS
120. Schubert, Siegfried, Randal Koster, Martin Hoerling, Richard Seager, Dennis Lettenmaier, Arun Kumar and David Gutzler, 2007: Predicting Drought on Seasonal-to-Decadal Time Scales. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88(10): 1625-1630. PDF
121. Seager, R and E.R. Cook, 2007: Medieval megadroughts in the Four Corners region: Characterization and causes, The Society for Americaqn Archaeology, Austin, Texas. PDF
122. Seager, R. and D. S. Battisti, 2007: Challenges to our understanding of the general circulation: abrupt climate change. In: T. Schneider and A.S. Sobel (Editors), The Global Circulation of the Atmosphere: Phenomena, Theory, Challenges. Princeton University Press, pp. 331-371. PDF
123. Seager, R., 2007: The Turn of the Century drought across North America: global context, dynamics and past analogues. Journal of Climate, 20: 5527-5552. PDF ABS
124. Seager, R., 2007: The turn of the century North American drought: Global context, dynamics, and past analogs. Journal of Climate, 20(22): 5527-5552. ABS
125. Seager, R., M. F. Ting, I. Held, Y. Kushnir, J. Lu, G. Vecchi, H. P. Huang, N. Harnik, A. Leetmaa, N. C. Lau, C. H. Li, J. Velez(Nakamura) and N. Naik(Henderson), 2007: Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America. Science, 316(5828): 1181-1184. PDF ABS
126. Seager, R., N. Graham, C. Herweijer, A. L. Gordon, Y. Kushnir and E. Cook, 2007: Blueprints for Medieval hydroclimate. Quaternary Science Reviews, 26(19-21): doi:10.1016/j.quascirev.2007.04.020, pp. 2322-2336. PDF ABS
127. Clement, A. C. , J. Emile-Geay, R. Seager, M. A. Cane and M. N. Evans, 2006: Solar forcing of the tropical Pacific climate and impacts over North America for the last millennium, PAGES Newsletter, Aug. 2006, pp. 12-14. PDF
128. Herweijer, C., R. Seager and E. R. Cook, 2006: North American droughts of the mid to late nineteenth century: a history, simulation and implication for Mediaeval drought. Holocene, 16(2): 159-171. PDF ABS
129. Seager, R., 2006: The source of Europe's mild climate. American Scientist, 94(4): 334-341. PDF
130. Clement, A. C., R. Seager and R. Murtugudde, 2005: Why are there tropical warm pools? Journal of Climate, 18(24): 5294-5311. PDF ABS
131. Hazeleger, W., C. Severijns, R. Seager and F. Molteni, 2005: Tropical Pacific-driven decadel energy transport variability. Journal of Climate, 18(12): 2037-2051. PDF ABS
132. Herweijer, C., R. Seager, M. Winton and A. Clement, 2005: Why ocean heat transport warms the global mean climate. Tellus Series a-Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 57(4): 662-675. PDF ABS
133. Huang, H. P., R. Seager and Y. Kushnir, 2005: The 1976/77 transition in precipitation over the Americas and the influence of tropical sea surface temperature. Climate Dynamics, 24(7-8): 721-740. PDF ABS
134. Seager, R., N. Harnik, W. A. Robinson, Y. Kushnir, M.F. Ting, H. P. Huang and J. Velez(Nakamura), 2005: Mechanisms of ENSO-forcing of hemispherically symmetric precipitation variability. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 131(608): 1501-1527. PDF ABS
135. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, C. Herweijer, N. Naik and J. Velez, 2005: Modeling of tropical forcing of persistent droughts and pluvials over western North America: 1856-2000. Journal of Climate, 18(19): 4065-4088. ABS
136. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, C. Herweijer, N. Naik(Henderson) and J. Velez(Nakamura), 2005: Modeling of tropical forcing of persistent droughts and pluvials over western North America: 1856-2000. Journal of Climate, 18(19): 4065-4088. PDF ABS
137. Hazeleger, W., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and N. H. Naik(Henderson), 2004: How can tropical Pacific Ocean heat transport vary? Journal of Physical Oceanography, 34(1): 320-333. PDF ABS
138. Karspeck, A. R., R. Seager and M. A. Cane, 2004: Predictability of tropical Pacific decadal variability in an intermediate model. Journal of Climate, 17(14): 2842-2850. PDF ABS
139. Seager, R., A. R. Karspeck, M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir, A. Giannini, A. Kaplan, B. Kerman and J. Velez(Nakamura), 2004: Predicting Pacific decadal variability. In: C. Wang, S.P. Xie and J.A. Carton (Editors), Earth Climate: The ocean-atmosphere interaction, American Geophysical Union, Washington DC, pp. 105-120. PDF
140. Emile-Geay, J., M. A. Cane, N. H. Naik(Henderson), R. Seager, A. C. Clement and A. van Geen, 2003: Warren revisited: Atmospheric freshwater fluxes and "Why is no deep water formed in the North Pacific''. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 108(C6): 3178, doi: 10.1029/2001JC001058. PDF ABS
141. Seager, R. , R. Murtugudde, A. C. Clement and C. Herweijer, 2003: Why is there an evaporation minimum at the Equator? J. Climate, 16: 3792-3801. PDF
142. Seager, R., 2003: Gulf Stream la fin d'un mythe. La Recherche(361): 40-46. PDF
143. Seager, R., N. Harnik, Y. Kushnir, W. Robinson and J. Miller(Nakamura), 2003: Mechanisms of hemispherically symmetric climate variability. Journal of Climate, 16(18): 2960-2978. PDF ABS
144. Seager, R., R. Murtugudde, N. H. Naik(Henderson), A. Clement, N. Gordon and J. Miller(Nakamura), 2003: Air-sea interaction and the seasonal cycle of the subtropical anticyclones. Journal of Climate, 16(12): 1948-1966. PDF ABS
145. Greene, A. M., R. Seager and W. S. Broecker, 2002: Tropical snowline depression at the Last Glacial Maximum: Comparison with proxy records using a single-cell tropical climate model. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres, 107(D7-8): doi:10.1029/2001JD000670. PDF ABS
146. Kushnir, Y., R. Seager, J. Miller(Nakamura) and J. C. H. Chiang, 2002: A simple coupled model of tropical Atlantic decadal climate variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 29(23): 2133. PDF ABS
147. Seager, R., D. S. Battisti, J. Yin, N. Gordon, N. H. Naik(Henderson), A. C. Clement and M. A. Cane, 2002: Is the Gulf Stream responsible for Europe's mild winters? Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 128(586): 2563-2586. PDF ABS
148. Clement, A. C., M. A. Cane and R. Seager, 2001: An orbitally driven tropical source for abrupt climate change. Journal of Climate, 14(11): 2369-2375. PDF ABS
149. Giannini, A., J. C. H. Chiang, M. A. Cane, Y. Kushnir and R. Seager, 2001: The ENSO teleconnection to the tropical Atlantic Ocean: Contributions of the remote and local SSTs to rainfall variability in the tropical Americas. Journal of Climate, 14(24): 4530-4544. PDF ABS
150. Hazeleger, W., R. Seager, M. Visbeck, N. H. Naik(Henderson) and K. Rodgers, 2001: Impact of the midlatitude storm track on the upper Pacific Ocean. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 31(2): 616-636. PDF ABS
151. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, N. H. Naik(Henderson), M. A. Cane and J. Miller(Nakamura), 2001: Wind-driven shifts in the latitude of the Kuroshio-Oyashio Extension and generation of SST anomalies on decadal timescales. Journal of Climate, 14(22): 4249-4265. PDF ABS
152. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, P. Chang, N. H. Naik(Henderson), J. Miller(Nakamura) and W. Hazeleger, 2001: Looking for the role of the ocean in tropical Atlantic decadal climate variability. Journal of Climate, 14(5): 638-655. LINK PDF ABS
153. Clement, A. C., R. Seager and M. A. Cane, 2000: Suppression of El Niño during the mid-Holocene by changes in the Earth's orbit. Paleoceanography, 15(6): 731-737. PDF ABS
154. Seager, R., A. C. Clement and M. A. Cane, 2000: Glacial cooling in the tropics: Exploring the roles of tropospheric water vapor, surface wind speed, and boundary layer processes. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 57(13): 2144-2157. PDF ABS
155. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir, M. Visbeck, N. H. Naik(Henderson), J. Miller(Nakamura), G. Krahmann and H. Cullen, 2000: Causes of Atlantic Ocean climate variability between 1958 and 1998. Journal of Climate, 13(16): 2845-2862. LINK PDF ABS
156. Clement, A. C., R. Seager and M. A. Cane, 1999: Orbital controls on the El Niño/Southern Oscillation and the tropical climate. Paleoceanography, 14(4): 441-456. PDF ABS
157. Clement, A. and R. Seager, 1999: Climate and the tropical oceans. Journal of Climate, 12(12): 3383-3401. PDF ABS
158. Clement, A., M. A. Cane and R. Seager, 1999: Patterns and mechanisms of twentieth century climate change. World Resources Rev., 10: 161-185. ABS
159. Stockdale, T. N., A. J. Busalacchi, D. E. Harrison and R. Seager, 1998: Ocean modeling for ENSO. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 103(C7): 14325-14355. PDF ABS
160. Cane, M. A., A. C. Clement, A. Kaplan, Y. Kushnir, D. Pozdnyakov, R. Seager, S. E. Zebiak and R. Murtugudde, 1997: Twentieth-century sea surface temperature trends. Science, 275(5302): 957-960. PDF ABS
161. Seager, R. and R. Murtugudde, 1997: Ocean dynamics, thermocline adjustment, and regulation of tropical SST. Journal of Climate, 10(3): 521-534. PDF ABS
162. Clement, A. C., R. Seager, M. A. Cane and S. E. Zebiak, 1996: An ocean dynamical thermostat. Journal of Climate, 9(9): 2190-2196. PDF ABS
163. Murtugudde, R., R. Seager and A. J. Busalacchi, 1996: Simulation of the tropical oceans with an ocean GCM coupled to an atmospheric mixed-layer model. Journal of Climate, 9(8): 1795-1815. PDF ABS
164. Seager, R. and S. E. Zebiak, 1995: Simulation of Tropical Climate with a Linear Primitive Equation Model. Journal of Climate, 8(10): 2497-2520. PDF ABS
165. Seager, R., M. B. Blumenthal and Y. Kushnir, 1995: An Advective Atmospheric Mixed-Layer Model for Ocean Modeling Purposes - Global Simulation of Surface Heat Fluxes. Journal of Climate, 8(8): 1951-1964. PDF ABS
166. Seager, R., Y. Kushnir and M. A. Cane, 1995: On heat flux boundary conditions for ocean models. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 25(12): 3219-3230. PDF ABS
167. Seager, R. and M. B. Blumenthal, 1994: Modeling Tropical Pacific Sea-Surface Temperature with Satellite-Derived Solar Radiative Forcing. Journal of Climate, 7(12): 1943-1957. PDF ABS
168. Seager, R. and S. E. Zebiak, 1994: Convective Interaction with Dynamics in a Linear Primitive Equation Model. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 51(10): 1307-1331. PDF ABS
169. Seager, R., 1991: A Simple-Model of the Climatology and Variability of the Low-Level Wind-Field in the Tropics. Journal of Climate, 4(2): 164-179. PDF ABS
170. Seager, R., 1989: Modeling Tropical Pacific Sea-Surface Temperature - 1970-87. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 19(4): 419-434. PDF ABS
171. Seager, R., S. E. Zebiak and M. A. Cane, 1988: A Model of the Tropical Pacific Sea-Surface Temperature Climatology. Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans, 93(C2): 1265-1280. PDF ABS

The database was updated today.

Maintained by: Virginia DiBlasi, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University